This weekend, theater screens will be vibrantly illuminated with the contrasting colors of pink and green, punctuated by splashes of red as moviegoers eagerly flock to see Universal’s “Wicked” and Paramount’s “Gladiator II.” As Thanksgiving approaches, these two distinct films are tracking to achieve a combined gross exceeding $200 million, setting the stage for what could be a historic holiday box office period. According to Shawn Robbins from Fandango, this artistic pairing represents an exciting counter-programming strategy that has movie theaters buzzing with anticipation.
The film industry has experienced its share of tumultuous ups and downs this fall. However, the release of “Wicked” and “Gladiator II” is expected to reignite box office excitement, especially with a third highly anticipated release, “Moana 2,” slated to hit theaters soon after. This festive lineup reaffirms the notion that holiday movie watching remains a cherished tradition, making it an ideal time for studios to capitalize on diverse offerings.
The pre-release buzz surrounding “Wicked” has already demonstrated significant momentum, raking in $19.2 million from advance screenings alone. This figure comprises earnings from Amazon Prime exclusive screenings and further Thursday night previews, indicating a robust interest among audiences. Tracking projections initially estimated an opening weekend in the vicinity of $80 million; however, these estimates have now climbed to between $120 million and $140 million, with some insiders predicting it could surpass expectations.
Musicals have historically presented marketing challenges for Hollywood yet, “Wicked” stands apart as a beloved title rooted in the successful Broadway legacy. The film’s acclaim is underscored by a staggering 92% “Fresh” rating on Rotten Tomatoes from over 160 critics, while a solid 99% rating from over 2,500 verified ticket purchasers speaks to its audience appeal. “Wicked” is poised to make cinematic history as it opens as the most lucrative Broadway adaptation on record, eclipsing the previous champ, Disney’s “Into the Woods,” which debuted with $31 million in 2014.
On the other end of the spectrum, “Gladiator II” enters the scene nearly a quarter-century after its predecessor carved out a cinematic legacy. It begins its theatrical run with $6.5 million generated from Thursday previews, and projections suggest it will add between $60 million to $80 million over its opening weekend. While the original film grossed significantly during its release back in 2000, “Gladiator II” has garnered much anticipation and is already riding on a 73% “Fresh” rating based on more than 200 reviews.
The phenomenon evoking the name “Glicked”—a playful hybrid of the two films—has sparked a cultural buzz reminiscent of the memorable “Barbenheimer” event, drawing attention to both releases and enhancing their marketability. As Paul Dergarabedian of Comscore points out, the positive reception of both films sets them up not only for impressive opening weekends but for sustained performance in cinemas throughout the holiday season.
The weekend’s box office figures are expected to reach between $200 million and $250 million. Although this tally seems promising, it would still rank below the top 20 highest-grossing weekends in box office history, an interesting marker considering the summer’s “Barbenheimer” weekend, which achieved a staggering $311 million.
However, industry analysts maintain that it’s not solely about immediate financial returns but also about cultivating a long-term audience connection. Robbins emphasizes the power of positive word-of-mouth among viewers, which can significantly extend the longevity and profitability of films in theaters.
The significance of this weekend extends beyond just the film releases, contributing to a revitalization of the annual box office, which currently lags behind previous years’ figures. Theaters nationwide are innovating to enhance the moviegoing experience—offering themed concessions, special merchandise, and interactive promotions to engage attendees. Cinemark’s unique gladiator-themed popcorn buckets and AMC’s colorful, candy-coated popcorn showcase the playful creativity venues are embracing to draw in audiences.
As the industry gears up for a bustling holiday season, Greg Marcus, CEO of Marcus Corporation, emphasizes the focus on customer experience—from speedily serving patrons to ensuring their overall enjoyment.
As “Wicked” and “Gladiator II” collide at the box office, they embody the vibrancy of cinematic storytelling, promising to inject excitement into the theater experience just as the holiday season invites audiences back to a shared space of entertainment and joy. Their success may very well lay the groundwork for a revitalized movie landscape, nurturing a culture of shared experiences amid the evolving entertainment industry.